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On Tuesday (18 March 2025), the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) decided to temporarily suspend trading as the benchmark Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG) plunged 5 percent. Such trading halts target at stabilizing Indonesia's capital markets (as the rupiah was also dragged down by the capital outflows).
On 5 February 2025, the Statistical Agency of Indonesia (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS) announced that Indonesia’s gross domestic product (GDP) was recorded at a growth rate of 5.03 percent year-on-year (y/y) in 2024. In another article in this month’s edition, we devote an analysis concerning Indonesia’s 2024 GDP growth.
On Wednesday 05 March 2025, Indonesia Investments released the February 2025 edition of its monthly report. The report discusses a range of national and international topics that impacted on Indonesia in the month of February 2025.
On Tuesday 4 February 2025, Indonesia Investments released the January 2025 edition of its monthly report. This report discusses key political, economic and social developments that unfolded in Indonesia in the month of January 2025.
On Friday 03 January 2025, Indonesia Investments released the December 2024 edition of its monthly report. The report presents a selection of subjects (related to the economy and politics of Indonesia) that were relevant in December 2024.
Albeit still at an admirable level, Indonesia’s economic growth rate fell slightly short of expectations in the third quarter of 2024 (Q3-2024). Based on the data released by Indonesia’s Statistical Agency (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS) on 5 November 2024, Indonesia’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 4.95 percent year-on-year (y/y) in Q3-2024.
On Tuesday 05 November 2024 Indonesia Investments released the October 2024 edition of its monthly report, titled: "Eight President of Indonesia Enters Office – the Transition in Focus". It presents analyses of political, economic and social matters that were relevant in Indonesian society in October 2024.
The middle class plays an important role in the economic development of Indonesia. Typically, nations with large middles class grow faster for a combination of reasons. And so, if Indonesia wants to achieve its ambition of becoming a developed country by 2045, then a significant percentage of its population (preferably over 70 percent) needs to join the middle class in the next two decades.
On Friday 4 October 2024 Indonesia Investments released the September 2024 edition of its monthly report. The report discusses a range of economic, political and social topics to assess the state of the Indonesian economy.
In another article (available in this monthly report) we present a detailed analysis of Indonesia’s economic growth in Q2-2024 (which came in at 5.05 percent year-on-year), based on the gross domestic product data that were released by the Statistical Agency (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS) in early August 2024.
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In the latest update of its flagship publication Asian Development Outlook 2015, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) said softer economic growth prospects of China and India in combination with slow recovery in the major industrial markets were reason why the ADB has cut its economic growth forecast for developing Asia in 2015 and 2016. The ADB now estimates GDP growth in developing Asia at 5.8 percent (y/y) in 2015 and 6.0 percent (y/y) in 2016, down from previous GDP growth forecasts of 6.3 percent (y/y) for both years.
The central bank of Indonesia announced on Thursday (17/09) that it the country’s key interest rate (BI rate) at 7.50 percent, while maintaining the deposit facility rate at 5.50 percent and the lending facility rate at 8.00 percent. According to Bank Indonesia (BI) this decision is consistent with its efforts to push inflation towards the target corridor of 4±1 percent in both 2015 and 2016. In addition, the decision is also part of Bank Indonesia’s measures to anticipate possibilities of a Fed Fund Rate (FFR) hike.
Global credit rating agency Moody’s Investors Service cut its forecast for economic growth in Indonesia this year from five percent (y/y) to 4.7 percent (y/y) due to the perceived hard landing of China’s economy in combination with sluggish conditions in Japan and the Eurozone. Weak demand from China, the world’s second-largest economy and the top trading partner of Indonesia, is expected to continue to plague Indonesian exports and earnings.
Sektor properti residensial di Indonesia tetap menarik di 2015 kendati ada beberapa faktor yang menghambat pertumbuhan selama dua tahun terakhir. Dalam kolom ini saya membahas faktor-faktor yang telah melambatkan pertumbuhan di sektor properti Indonesia dan bagaimana pihak berwenang (seperti bank sentral dan Otoritas Jasa Keuangan) merespon tantangan-tantangan ini melalui peraturan baru. Terakhir, saya menyediakan sebuah update mengenai rencana Pemerintah, yang baru saja diumumkan, untuk mengizinkan kepemilikan asing atas apartemen mewah.
A total of 1,555,609 foreign tourists have visited the island of Bali, the most popular tourist destination in Indonesia, in the first five months of 2015, an 11.3 percentage point growth from the same period last year. Given that the number of foreign tourists usually peaks in the period June-September it is most likely that the government’s target of welcoming 4 million foreign tourists on Bali in 2015 will be achieved, or exceeded. Most tourists that visit Bali originate from Australia, China and Japan.
In a bid to boost economic activity in Indonesia, the central bank (Bank Indonesia) revised several regulations involving down payments for the purchase of cars and motorcycles as well as the maximum loan-to-value (LTV) ratios for first or more home purchases by Indonesian citizens. Yati Kurniati, Director of Bank Indonesia’s Macroprudential Department, said that the central bank implemented the looser monetary policy in the property and automotive sectors in an effort to boost credit growth, hence boosting the whole economy.
Hariyadi Sukamdani, Chairman of the Indonesian Employers Association (Apindo), expressed his concern about unemployment in Indonesia, particularly unemployment among the younger generation of Indonesians (aged between 15 and 29). Amid slowing economic growth over the past six years, various industries have been cutting employment. With roughly half of the total population below 30 years of age, Indonesia’s demographic bonus can turn into disaster if this potential workforce fails to obtain employment opportunities.
Although recently having slowed, Indonesia has experienced solid economic growth over the past ten years, with the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) almost doubling between 2001 and 2012. However, robust economic growth also resulted in significant environmental degradation and accelerated depletion of Indonesia’s natural resources. Sri Mulyani Indrawati, World Bank Group Managing Director (and former Indonesian Finance Minister), emphasized that Indonesia needs to shift from a ‘brown’ to a ‘green’ growth model.
Gambaran ekonomi Indonesia dari sisi pengeluaran sangat didominasi oleh permintaan domestik. Sejak Q1 2010 hingga Q1 2015, rata-rata peran permintaan domestik mencapai 99,5 persen, dengan nilai terendah sebesar 96,8 persen. Sisi positif dari kondisi ini adalah ekonomi Indonesia relatif tahan terhadap guncangan faktor eksternal. Pengalaman menunjukan bahwa saat terjadi krisis subprime mortgage di Amerika dan krisis finansial di Eropa, pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia masih relatif tinggi dan konsisten dibandingkan negara-negara lain.
Within a couple of days Statistics Indonesia (BPS) is scheduled to release Indonesia’s GDP growth figure for the first quarter of 2015. Despite economic growth forecasts for full-year 2015 - both of the Indonesian government and international institutions such as the World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Asian Development Bank (ADB) - signalling a rebound from the five-year low of 5.02 percent (y/y) in 2014, various analysts expect to see further slowing economic growth in Q1-2015.
