Tag: Inflation
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Berita Hari Ini Inflation
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Consumer Price Index of Indonesia: Inflation Remains Low Despite Rising Fuel and Food Prices
As expected, inflationary pressures increased on a month-on-month (m/m) basis in September 2023. However, on a year-on-year (y/y) basis, Indonesian inflation eased quite significantly as the impact of the subsidized fuel price hike in September 2022 is now removed from the data. Based on the data from Indonesia’s Statistical Office (BPS), Indonesia’s headline inflation decelerated to a rate of 2.28 percent (y/y).
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Consumer Price Index of Indonesia: Mild Deflation, Yet Annual Inflation Accelerates in August 2023
In line with our forecast, Indonesia recorded mild deflation in August 2023. Based on the latest data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) Indonesian deflation was recorded at 0.02 percent month-on-month (m/m) in August 2023. But because deflation was milder than last year, Indonesia’s annual inflation accelerated to 3.27 percent (y/y).
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New Report Out: Indonesia Investments Released Its August 2023 Edition
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Consumer Price Index of Indonesia: Indonesian Inflation Still Easing in July 2023
Again, Indonesia experienced another month characterized by low inflation. Based on the latest data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), Indonesian inflation was recorded at 0.21 percent month-on-month (m/m) in July 2023, significantly lower than the 0.64 percent (m/m) that was recorded in the same month one year earlier.
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Indonesia Investments Released July 2023 Report - Economy, Politics & Social Developments
On 7 August 2023 Indonesia Investments released the July 2023 edition of its monthly report, zooming in on various economic, political and social matters that were relevant in the month of July 2023.
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Indonesia Investments Released June 2023 Report - Focus on Mining Sector
On 6 July 2023 Indonesia Investments released the June 2023 edition of its monthly report. In the report we present a number of analyses of topics (all related to the economy, politics and social matters) that were relevant in Indonesia in the month of June 2023.
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Consumer Price Index of Indonesia: June 2023 Brings Yet Another Month of Low Inflation
Again, Indonesia experienced another month characterized by low inflation. Based on the latest data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), Indonesian inflation was recorded at 0.14 percent month-on-month (m/m) in June 2023, significantly lower than the 0.61 percent (m/m) that was recorded in the same month one year earlier.
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Consumer Price Index of Indonesia: April 2023 Is Another Month of Remarkably Low Inflation
Typically, the Ramadan month and Idul Fitri week is a period of elevated inflation as people consume and travel more than usual amid the festivities. This year, however, inflationary pressures were remarkably low. According to the latest data of Statistics Indonesia (BPS), inflation reached 0.33 percent month-on-month in April 2023.
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Indonesia Investments Released April 2023 Report - Economy, Politics & Social Developments
On 4 May 2023 Indonesia Investments released the April 2023 edition of its monthly report. The report discusses a range of subjects related to the economy, politics and social matters that we found were relevant in April 2023.
Artikel Terbaru Inflation
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Indonesia's Foreign Exchange Reserves Fall, Current Account Deficit Grows
The foreign exchange reserves of Indonesia keep on falling from its historical peak of USD $124.64 billion in August 2011 to USD $92.67 billion at the end of July 2013. This development seems to highlight long-standing weaknesses in Indonesia's sovereign's external finances, as credit agency Fitch Ratings detected on several occasions before. The republic of Indonesia is currently characterized by four deficits, to wit a current account deficit, a balance of payments deficit, a trade balance deficit and a fiscal deficit.
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Slowing Growth in Indonesian Cement Sales Continues in Semester II
Cement sales in Indonesia grew by seven percent to 32.9 million tons in the period January to July 2013. This pace of growth is significantly lower compared to the double-digit cement growth rate last year and thus forms another sign of cooling economic growth in Southeast Asia's largest economy (cement sales are a good indicator to measure the state of economic growth of a country). A slowdown in domestic cement sales is likely to continue in the second half of 2013, partly due to a decline in infrastructure projects.
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Despite Higher Idul Fitri Consumption, Indonesia May Not Reach GDP Target
Although the holy fasting month of Ramadan and subsequent Idul Fitri celebrations always provide a boost for national economic growth in Indonesia as domestic consumption tends to peak, analysts believe that it will not contribute significantly to the government's 6.3 percent GDP growth target this year. During Ramadan and Idul Fitri (known as Lebaran), Indonesian consumers generally spend more on food products, clothes, shoes, tickets for transport and hotels than in other months, and thus lead to increased economic activity.
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Possible End to Quantitative Easing Will Impact on Emerging Economies
Worldwide, most stock indices fell on Wednesday (07/08), particularly Japan's Nikkei index, after it has been speculated that the Federal Reserve may phase out the third round of its quantitative easing program in September 2013. This program, involving a monthly USD $85 billion bond-buying package, aims to spur US economic growth while keeping interest rates low. However, one important side effect has been rising stock markets around the globe. Now the end of QE3 is in sight, investors shy away from riskier assets.
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Indonesia's Inflation Rate Accelerates to 3.29% in July 2013
Indonesia’s inflation rate in July 2013 was significantly higher than analysts had previously estimated. The country’s July inflation figure accelerated to 3.29 percent. On year-on-year basis, it now stands at 8.61 percent, the highest inflation rate since many years. Particularly food commodity and transportation prices rose steeply. The main reason for Indonesia's high inflation is the reduction in fuel subsidies. In late June, the government increased the prices of subsidized fuels in order to relieve the ballooning budget deficit.
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Despite High July Inflation and Trade Deficit, Indonesia's IHSG Slightly up
As I stated before, mixed sentiments continue to influence the performance of Indonesia's main stock index (IHSG). During Thursday's trading day (01/08), the index moved sideways. News that the Federal Reserve intends to continue its bond-buying program made a good impact. However, this positive sentiment was offset by the release of Indonesia's high July inflation rate as well as the country's continued trade deficit. At the end of the day, the IHSG managed to post a gain as it received support from rising stock indices in Asia.
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Menghadapi Inflasi Tinggi: Pasar Saham Indonesia di bawah Tekanan
IHSG akhir pekan lalu kembali ditutup terkoreksi 0,3% atau 15 poin di 4658,874. Nilai transaksi di Pasar Reguler kembali menipis hanya Rp.3 triliun dibandingkan rata-rata harian pekan lalu yang mencapai Rp.3,84 triliun. Asing masih mencatatkan nilai penjualan bersih Rp.92,9 miliar. Minimnya insentif positif, rilis laba emiten yang dibawah perkiraan sebelumnya, dan pelemahan rupiah atas dolar AS telah menjadi pemicu penurunan indeks. Dilihat sepekan IHSG terkoreksi 1,39% dan rupiah melemah 1,94% di Rp.10265/US dolar.
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Investment Realization in Indonesia USD $19.8 billion in Semester I-2013
Investment realization in Indonesia grew 30.2 percent to IDR 192.8 trillion (USD $19.8 billion) in the first six months of 2013 (compared to the same period last year). This result implies that 49.4 percent of the investment target for full 2013 has been achieved. The Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM) aims to collect IDR 390.3 trillion in investments this year. This target is divided in domestic direct investment (DDI) of IDR 117.7 trillion and foreign direct investment (FDI) of IDR 272.6 trillion.
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Market Waits for Indonesia's Inflation Data and Financial Company Reports
Indonesia's main stock index (IHSG) increased 3.98 points to close at 4,724.41 on the last trading day (19/07). During last week, the index rose a limited 1.97 percent amid the context of a weakening IDR rupiah (Indonesia's currency even fell below the psychological boundary of IDR 10,000 against the US dollar). The IHSG's performance last week was mainly supported by rising shares in the country's finance, property, construction and metal mining sectors, while the cement and plantation sectors were corrected.
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Weakening Rupiah due to Indonesia's Fundamentals and Profit Taking
The Indonesian rupiah (IDR) is experiencing one of its worst losing streaks in a decade. On Friday (19/07), the currency weakened to IDR 10,070 against the US dollar, which implies a devaluation of 4.14% in 2013 so far. The central bank of Indonesia, Bank Indonesia, does all it can to support the currency: the country's lender of last resort supplies dollars to the market triggering the reduction of foreign reserves from USD $105 million at end-May to $98 million at end-June, and raised its benchmark interest rate (BI Rate) by 50 bps to 6.50%.
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