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Berita Hari Ini Cement Industry
In May 2017 Indonesia's national cement consumption extended the rise that started in the preceding month supported by a recovery in the property sector and infrastructure development projects. Based on data from the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI), cement demand grew 7 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 5.47 million tons in May. Meanwhile, cement sales rose 4.1 percent (y/y) to 25.26 million tons in the January-May 2017 period.
Indonesia's largest cement manufacturer, Semen Indonesia, plans to establish two new cement factories - one in Aceh (Sumatra) and one in Kupang (East Nusa Tenggara) - in order to strengthen the company's portfolio and distribution network. Semen Indonesia is currently conducting further studies to determine strategies to realize its plans.
Cement sales in Indonesia rose 0.2 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 4.54 million tons in February 2017 from 4.54 million tons in the same month one year earlier. This growth pace is considerably below market participants' targets. Weak cement sales in the second month of 2017 are blamed on weather conditions (the high amount of rainfall that caused floods in several parts of Indonesia) and on the fact that direct investment (in infrastructure and property) outside Java remains bleak.
Cement consumption in Indonesia fell to 5.27 million tons in January 2017, down 2.3 percent year-on-year (y/y) from the same month one year ago. This decline was blamed on the intense rainfall in the nation's regions that managed to obstruct progress with various projects. Widodo Santoso, Chairman of the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI), said the decline in cement demand was seen in nearly all regions, including Sumatra, Java, Kalimantan, and Nusa Tenggara.
Domestic cement consumption in Indonesia in full-year 2016 stood at 62 million tons, rather stagnant from cement demand in the preceding year and thus the 65 million tons cement sales target of the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI) in 2016 was not achieved. ASI Chairman Widodo Santoso confirmed that Indonesian cement consumption was not in line with his institution's prediction. Moreover, weak cement sales also indicate that government-led infrastructure development has not been running smoothly yet.
Cement consumption in Indonesia is expected to rise around 8 percent (y/y) to 68 million tons in 2017 from an estimated 63 million tons this year. This optimistic projection was expressed by Widodo Santoso, Chairman of the Indonesia Cement Association (ASI). Government-led infrastructure projects are believed to be the main pillar of support for next year's rising cement consumption in Southeast Asia's largest economy, particularly the one million houses program as well as other strategic projects.
Indonesian cement producers request the government not to issue new permits for the construction of cement plants in Indonesia. Such a moratorium should be put in place until at least 2019 as the nation's existing cement producers fear further falling profit due to the structural cement oversupply. Indonesia's total installed cement production capacity has now reached 92 million tons (per year), while domestic cement demand is expected to reach 65 million tons only in full-year 2016.
Six cement factories with a combined annual production capacity of 13.1 million tons will be ready to start operations in the second half of 2016. These six cement plants are owned by Semen Bosowa, Semen Tiga Roda, Conch Semen, Semen Indonesia (two plants) and Semen Manokwari. Widodo Santoso, Chairman of the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI), said the development of the new plants will create an even larger cement oversupply in Indonesia. Annual national cement production capacity now stands at around 100 million tons, while demand is estimated at 63 million tons in 2016.
Domestic cement sales in Indonesia climbed 3.1 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 29.48 million tons in the first half of 2016. Widodo Santoso, General Chairman of the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI), said rising cement demand in Indonesia is particularly supported by the construction of power plants, smelters and other infrastructure projects outside the island of Java. However, he added that the cement sales growth figure in H1-2016 is slightly below the target of ASI.
Cement exports from Indonesia have surged sharply in the first five months of 2016. Rising cement export is a good strategy to tackle the domestic oversupply of cement in Indonesia. Due to the influx of new cement producers as well as the expansion programs of existing cement producers in Southeast Asia's largest economy, the nation's cement production capacity has nearly reached 100 million tons per year, while domestic demand may only reach 65 million tons in 2016.
Artikel Terbaru Cement Industry
It has been a while since we last published an article on Indonesia’s cement industry. Therefore, it is interesting to present an update. Indonesia’s cement industry was a truly booming industry in the early 2010s as domestic cement demand was strong around that time on the back of the construction of property and infrastructure.
Between the years 2011 and 2013 Indonesia’s cement industry seemed to be a goldmine. Double-digit growth in annual domestic cement sales – supported by strong growth in the country’s property sector, particularly on the islands of Java and Sumatra – attracted new foreign investment in cement production facilities, while established cement producers in the Archipelago invested in expansion of their cement production facilities.
Semen Indonesia, the largest cement producer in Indonesia, announced in November 2018 that it has signed a conditional sales & purchase agreement with LafargeHolcim Ltd to acquire an 80.6 percent stake in Holcim Indonesia, the third-biggest cement producer in Indonesia.
Over the past five years Indonesia's annual cement production capacity surged to above 100 million tons, while domestic cement consumption has difficulty to reach beyond 65 million tons (and Indonesia exports relatively few cement). The subsequent oversupply condition puts significant pressure on cement prices. So, what are the strategies of Indonesian cement producers in 2018?
Cement consumption in Indonesia grew 5.7 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 41.1 million tons in the January-August 2017 period (compared to the same period one year earlier). This can be labelled a rebound compared to bleak growth of 1.8 percent (y/y) and 1.6 percent (y/y) in 2015 and 2016, respectively. This year Indonesian cement demand could in fact reach 64 million tons.
While domestic cement demand remains bleak, Indonesia's cement producers managed to raise their level of production capacity utilization due to a surge in exports. However, export growth will only slightly improve the structural oversupply situation in Indonesia's cement market. With installed annual production capacity estimated at 103.8 million tons of cement, nearly 40 million tons of capacity remains unused.
For Indonesian cement producers it is vital to maintain their market share amid ongoing difficult times. With Indonesia's total installed annual cement production capacity now being around 100 million tons, while domestic demand is only expected to reach 65 million in 2017, cement players are facing weak prices amid a big oversupply, while foreign demand for Indonesian cement is yet to grow. Meanwhile, due to the arrival of various new cement players in Indonesia in recent years, competition for market share has become increasingly fierce.
Cement sales in Indonesia weakened 5.4 percent month-on-month (m/m) - or 5.3 percent on an annual basis - to 5.7 million tons in November 2016. However, in the first 11 months of 2016 Indonesian cement sales reached a total of 56.5 million tons, up 2.8 percent (y/y) from domestic cement sales in the same period one year earlier. This modest growth is supported by government-led infrastructure development as well as smelter and power plant development. The housing market, however, remained flat. Also intense rainfall managed to curtail the progress of projects. Below, a snapshot of our latest report.
Indonesia's cement exports are targeted to reach 1.5 million tons in 2016, up 50 percent (y/y) from the realization of approximately 1 million tons in the preceding year. Up to the end of July 2016 Indonesian cement exports had already risen by 63 percent (y/y) this year. Although coming from a low base, rapidly increasing cement exports are highly welcome to offset the nation's rising cement oversupply. Due to the arrival of new cement producers and production expansion of existing cement players, while domestic cement consumption remains bleak, there occurred a big oversupply.
The year 2015 was a sluggish year for Indonesia's cement industry amid the country's slowing economic growth. Total cement sales only rose 1.8 percent year-on-year (y/y) to 61 million tons, the slowest growth pace since 2009. In the first month of 2016, however, a positive sign was detected. Widodo Santoso, Chairman of the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI), said Indonesian cement sales rose 4.4 percent (y/y) to 5.14 million tons in January 2016 (from the same month one year earlier) on the back of government-led infrastructure development.
Bisnis Terkait Cement Industry
