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Albeit still at an admirable level, Indonesia’s economic growth rate fell slightly short of expectations in the third quarter of 2024 (Q3-2024). Based on the data released by Indonesia’s Statistical Agency (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS) on 5 November 2024, Indonesia’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 4.95 percent year-on-year (y/y) in Q3-2024.
In another article (available in this monthly report) we present a detailed analysis of Indonesia’s economic growth in Q2-2024 (which came in at 5.05 percent year-on-year), based on the gross domestic product data that were released by the Statistical Agency (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS) in early August 2024.
The macroeconomic data that were released by Indonesia’s Statistical Agency (BPS) on Monday 6 May 2024 were largely in line with our expectations. BPS announced that the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth was recorded at 5.11 percent year-on-year (y/y) in Q1-2024, which is within our projection of 5.1–5.2 percent.
The macroeconomic data that were released by Indonesia’s Statistical Agency (BPS) on Monday 5 February 2024 were largely in line with expectations. However, there is some room for concern as Indonesia’s household consumption wasn’t as strong as we hoped it to be amid the festive season (Christmas and New Year celebrations).
While we had hoped to see Indonesia’s gross domestic product (or GDP) growth rate at 5.0 percent year-on-year (y/y) in the third quarter of 2023 (Q3-2023), it was not a real surprise to see the growth rate fall slightly below that level.
Indonesia’s Statistical Office (Badan Pusat Statistik, or BPS) shared some great news on 7 August 2023. The agency announced that Indonesia’s gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 5.17 percent year-on-year (y/y) in the second quarter of 2023. This was better than most forecasts, including our projection of 4.9 percent (y/y).
Despite the challenging international conditions (aggressive monetary tightening in the United States, the Russo-Ukrainian war, stagflation, a looming recession across the West, and weak growth in China) and a significant rise in the prices of subsidized fuels on 3 September 2022, Indonesia posted another solid economic growth rate.
Over the past decade or so many analysts – including us – have pointed out that the structural deficit in Indonesia’s current account balance is a serious weakness.
On Friday 5 November 2021 Indonesia’s Statistical Agency (BPS) released the official Q3-2021 gross domestic product (GDP) data for Indonesia. While we had predicted a mediocre performance (based on the country’s lackluster retail sales, consumer confidence, credit growth and low inflation in this year’s third quarter), the figure was still below our forecast.
On 5 May 2021, Indonesia’s Statistical Agency (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS), released the latest gross domestic product (GDP) data of Indonesia, covering the first quarter of 2021. As expected, the economic recession persisted into Q1-2021 for Southeast Asia’s largest economy.
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On 5 May 2020 Statistics Indonesia (Badan Pusat Statistik, BPS), a non-departmental government agency, released the first quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data of Indonesia for the year 2020. These data were highly anticipated as policymakers, analysts, and stakeholders are particularly interested in finding out to what extent damage has been done to the Indonesian economy by the self-imposed restrictions.
Our assistance intends to connect you with the reliable and proper partners to fulfill your institution’s goals. To find a reliable partner is very challenging since Indonesia generally puts more emphasis on personal relationships and less on formal business agreements. Qualified local partners will not take international institutions seriously unless these institutions are committed to visiting Indonesia on a regular basis. Patience, persistence and presence are key factors for successful entry strategies into the Indonesian market.
On 15 October 2019 the first edition of the ‘Indonesia Trade & Investment Summit’ was held at the Ritz Carlton ballroom at Pacific Place Jakarta in the Sudirman Central Business District (located in South Jakarta).
In late-July 2019 Indonesia’s Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM) released the latest direct investment data of Indonesia. The data give rise to some optimism, albeit – generally speaking – direct investment realization comes from a low base in Indonesia (and non-optimal investment realization means the whole economy is not running optimally).
In early May 2019 Indonesia’s statistics agency (in Indonesian: Badan Pusat Statistik, or BPS) announced that the nation’s economic growth pace was recorded at 5.07 percent year-on-year (y/y) in the first quarter of 2019.
Based on data from the Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM), total direct investment realization in full-year 2018 reached IDR 721.3 trillion, up 4.1 percent compared to the preceding year. However, it means that the government’s investment target of IDR 765 trillion was not achieved.
Based on the latest data from IHS Markit, the headline seasonally adjusted Nikkei Indonesia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell modestly to a reading of 50.5 in October 2018 (from 50.7 in the preceding month). The reading represents a marginal improvement in the health of Indonesia’s manufacturing sector.
Based on the latest data from Indonesia’s Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM), total direct investment (foreign direct investment + domestic direct investment) in Indonesia was rather subdued in the second quarter of 2018, rising by a modest 3.1 percent year-on-year (y/y) to IDR 173.6 trillion (approx. USD $13.1 billion, using the IDR 13,400 per US dollar exchange rate that was set in the 2018 State Budget). As a consequence, Indonesia only achieved 47.3 percent of its full-year 2018 investment realization target in the first half of 2018, thus chances are rather big that the full-year target will not be achieved. It would be the first time Southeast Asia’s largest economy misses its investment realization target in many years.
Investors are awaiting a series of fiscal incentives from the Indonesian government, including a new tax holiday. Meanwhile, investors also urge the government to improve the investment and business climate by simplifying the process and procedures to obtain permits for investment projects. This also includes improving the coordination between central and regional authorities, for example through the integration of the permitting process at both levels.
Adhi Lukman, Chairman of the Indonesian Food and Beverage Association (Gapmmi), says he is optimistic that the investment targets that are set by Indonesia's Industry Ministry will be met this year. The Industry Ministry targets to see a total of IDR 63.25 trillion (approx. USD $4.6 billion) worth of private sector investment in the food and beverage industry of Indonesia, up 6.7 percent compared to investment realization in this industry one year earlier.
