After the impressive rally last week (fed by hopes of more stimulus measures from central banks), concern about Brexit (Britain's decision to exit the European Union) is now impacting significantly on assets worldwide. With growing fears about instability in the European Union (EU) investors have become "more realistic" and seek safe haven assets, such as government bonds, Japan's yen, the US dollar and gold. A closer look at currencies and yields signals what is going on in investors' minds. Meanwhile, commodity prices - led by crude oil - extended their falls.

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The Finance Ministry of Indonesia announced that it has removed a withholding tax on interest payments on its global sovereign bonds (surat berharga negara, or SBN). Previously this tax was set at 15 percent for Indonesia-based investors and 20 percent for non-resident investors. By removing the withholding tax Indonesia's authorities aim to see its global bond yields fall by 15-20 percent. Indonesia's bond yields have been the highest in Southeast Asia. The removal of the withholding tax is effective retroactively from 1 January 2016.

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Indonesian credit rating agency Pefindo (Pemeringkat Efek Indonesia) says the value of issued debt paper in Indonesia may reach IDR 90 trillion (approx. USD $6.8 billion), up 34 percent from the IDR 67 trillion worth of debt paper that was issued in Indonesia last year. Debt paper involves bonds, sukuk (Islamic bonds), and medium term notes. So far this year, Pefindo has been tasked to rate up to IDR 44.1 trillion worth of debt paper, while debt paper that has been issued up to May totaled IDR 25 trillion (approx. USD $1.9 billion).

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After last week's successful issuance of euro-denominated bonds, the government of Indonesia has now conducted a successful issuance of yen-denominated bonds (known as samurai bonds). Indonesia's Finance Ministry said it raised 100 billion yen (approx. USD $942 million) on Wednesday (15/06) from a private placement of samurai bonds to institutional investors in Japan. Lead underwriters of the bond issuance were Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities Co Ltd, Mizuho Securities Co Ltd, and SMBC Nikko Securities Inc.

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The government of Indonesia has expressed its concern about rising foreign debt. Indonesian President Joko Widodo summoned Chief Economics Minister Darmin Nasution for a meeting to express his concern about the issue. In particular the high degree of foreign ownership of Indonesian securities needs attention as foreign ownership of government bonds has reached a new record high. Therefore, analysts say Indonesia needs to optimize government revenue (for example by reforming the nation's tax system) rather than depend on loans and bonds.

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Indonesia's public debt - as a percentage of the nation's gross domestic product (GDP) - currently stands at 27 percent, or roughly IDR 3,200 trillion (approx. USD $241 billion). This debt is manageable and actually quite low compared to other key emerging economies or advanced economies. For example, Malaysia's and Brazil's public debt-to-GDP ratios reached 56 percent and 70 percent, respectively. Meanwhile, the ratios of the USA and Japan stand at 105 percent and 246 percent, respectively. However, the level of debt is not that important. The important question is how is this debt used?

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The Indonesian government will offer rupiah-denominated government bonds (Surat Utang Negara or SUN) to investors between 10:00 and 12:00 am on Tuesday (29/03). The bond sale has an indicative target of IDR 12 trillion (approx. USD $909 million) but this target can be up-sized to IDR 18 trillion. Tomorrow's bond sale, proceeds of which are to be used to finance Indonesia's 2016 State Budget, involves four series (SPN12170302, FR0056, FR0073, and FR0072). The tender is open to both institutional investors and individual investors.

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On 13 March 2016, Indonesia Investments released the latest edition of its newsletter. This free newsletter, which is sent to our subscribers once per week, contains the most important news stories from Indonesia that have been reported on our website over the last seven days. Most of the topics involve economic matters such as the performance of Indonesian blue chip stocks, the impact of negative interest rates in the Eurozone, logistics costs, coal mining, crude palm oil, Japanese investment, and more.

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The foreign exchange reserves of Indonesia rose USD $2.4 billion to USD $104.5 billion in February 2016 according to a statement of Indonesia's central bank (Bank Indonesia). The lender of last resort attributed this forex growth to foreign exchange receipts from the oil & gas sector, foreign debt withdrawals, and the sale of foreign-denominated bonds (SBBI). These receipts were more than enough to cover for the use of foreign exchange for public foreign debt payments.

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As predicted, demand for Indonesia's sharia-compliant government retail bonds (Sukuk Negara Ritel, abbreviated Sukri) remains strong and is growing. In fact, Indonesia's Finance Ministry released a statement on Monday (07/03) that said Southeast Asia's largest economy recorded its biggest ever sale of Sukri bonds. Between 19 February and 4 March 2016 Indonesia offered the three year SR-008 Islamic bond series (carrying a fixed coupon of 8.3 percent per year), raising IDR 31.5 trillion (approx. USD $2.4 billion).

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When speaking with Indonesians about the performance of the Indonesian government under the leadership of President Joko Widodo, high government debt is usually mentioned as a key source of concern (especially in case the conversation partner is not supportive of the Widodo administration).

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Indonesia's global rupiah-denominated government bonds will enter the Bloomberg Barclay's Global Aggregate Index per May 2018. On Wednesday (21/02) Bloomberg announced that Indonesia's global rupiah bonds meet all criteria to become a member of the Global Aggregate Index. This decision shows the degree of rising foreign confidence in Indonesian bonds, hence in the Indonesian rupiah and the Indonesian economy as a whole.

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In the first two weeks of February 2018 foreign investors aggressively sold rupiah-denominated government bonds (in Indonesian: Surat Berharga Negara, or SBN) in the secondary market. Up to 14 February 2018, foreign investors sold IDR 18.69 trillion (approx. USD $1.4 billion) worth of government bonds in February.

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Earlier this week Indonesian state-controlled construction company Wijaya Karya listed its 'komodo bonds' on the London Stock Exchange in the United Kingdom, an event that was witnessed by Indonesian Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati. But Wijaya Karya was not the first company to issue komodo bonds. On 13 December 2017 toll road company Jasa Marga sold IDR 4 trillion (approx. USD $298 million) in three-year bonds (priced at 7.5 percent).

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Indonesia-based shipping company Soechi Lines set aside between USD $30 million and USD $50 million to acquire a tanker in 2018. Paula Marlina, Corporate Secretary at Soechi Lines, said the exact type of tanker depends on incoming customer orders. Traditionally, the shipping company acquires a certain type of tanker when it receives plenty of demand for certain tanker services.

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Construction company Wijaya Karya (Wika) is conducting a roadshow for its rupiah-denominated global bonds (to be listed on the London Stock Exchange). Wika is following the example of state-controlled toll road operator Jasa Marga that listed its rupiah-denominated global bonds (also known as "komodo bonds") in London on 13 December 2017.

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The offering period of the Indonesian central government's latest series of (conventional) Indonesian Retail Bonds (in Indonesian: Obligasi Ritel Indonesia, or ORI) is almost over (it closes on Thursday, 19 October 2017). Contrary to our earlier report, demand for the ORI014 series seems not as strong as initially expected.

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Between 29 September and 19 October 2017, the Indonesian government offers its new series of (conventional) Indonesian Retail Bonds (in Indonesian: Obligasi Ritel Indonesia, or ORI) to Indonesian retail investors. Since 2006 the Indonesian government has been issuing ORI bonds, at least once per year, to finance the government's state budget.

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Two state-controlled companies are planning to issue global rupiah-denominated bonds (often called nasi goreng bonds). Construction company Wijaya Karya, which is listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, plans to issue up to USD $500 million of nasi goreng bonds in the second half of 2017. Besides the nasi goreng bonds, the company also plans to sell up to IDR 5 trillion of rupiah-denominated bonds on the domestic market.

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Indonesian state-controlled toll road operator - yet listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange - Jasa Marga considers to issue rupiah-denominated global bonds as an alternative source to seek funds for investment in toll road infrastructure development. Donny Arsal, Finance Director of Jasa Marga, said the company needs IDR 7 trillion (approx. USD $526 million) for investment in 2017. These funds should be collected through bonds, asset securitization, and bank loans.

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