Consumer Price Index Indonesia: Inflation at 3.58% in November
Inflation in Indonesia accelerated to 3.58 percent year-on-year (y/y) in November 2016, from 3.31 percent (y/y) in the preceding month. Acceleration of Indonesian inflation last month was faster than expected, with estimates averaging 3.43 percent (y/y). On a month-on-month (m/m) basis inflation rose by 0.47 percent in November. Indonesia's Statistics Agency (BPS) announced the country's latest inflation data just before noon on Thursday (01/12).
Rising inflation in November in Southeast Asia's largest economy was particularly attributed to higher prices of shallots, chilies, and tomatoes. Not only in November but also throughout the year 2016, food prices have been the biggest contributor to inflation in Indonesia.
Meanwhile, Indonesia's core inflation, which excludes administered and volatile food prices, was stable last month at 3.07 percent (y/y), down narrowly from 3.08 percent (y/y) in the preceding month.
In the first 11 months, Indonesian inflation has now reached 2.59 percent and with one more month to go it is almost certain that the full-year result will fall within the central bank's target of 3 - 5 percent (y/y). Although in December-January Indonesia always experiences a peak in inflation (due to rising consumer spending amid Christmas and New Year celebrations) it will require a huge shock to push inflation realization outside the central bank's target.
Inflation in Indonesia:
| Month | Monthly Growth 2013 |
Monthly Growth 2014 |
Monthly Growth 2015 |
Monthly Growth 2016 |
| January | 1.03% | 1.07% | -0.24% | 0.51% |
| February | 0.75% | 0.26% | -0.36% | -0.09% |
| March | 0.63% | 0.08% | 0.17% | 0.19% |
| April | -0.10% | -0.02% | 0.36% | -0.45% |
| May | -0.03% | 0.16% | 0.50% | 0.24% |
| June | 1.03% | 0.43% | 0.54% | 0.66% |
| July | 3.29% | 0.93% | 0.93% | 0.69% |
| August | 1.12% | 0.47% | 0.39% | -0.02% |
| September | -0.35% | 0.27% | -0.05% | 0.22% |
| October | 0.09% | 0.47% | -0.08% | 0.14% |
| November | 0.12% | 1.50% | 0.21% | 0.47% |
| December | 0.55% | 2.46% | 0.96% | |
| Total | 8.38% | 8.36% | 3.35% |
Source: Statistics Indonesia (BPS)
Inflation in Indonesia and Central Bank Target 2008-2016:
| 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | |
| Inflation (annual % change) |
9.8 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 3.4 | |
| Bank Indonesia Target (annual % change) |
5.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
Source: Bank Indonesia
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