Demonstration Indonesian Workers: Protesting against Layoffs & Demanding for Higher Wages
Tomorrow (Tuesday 01 September 2015) around 50,000 Indonesian workers are expected to demonstrate on the streets of Central Jakarta and demand for higher wages. This mass protest is a response to the many layoffs that occurred in Indonesia’s labor-intensive industries in recent months (while more layoffs are expected in the period ahead) as well as a response to people’s weakening purchasing power (curtailed by prolonged high inflation).
In recent years Indonesia’s economic growth has been slowing due to the sluggish global economy, low commodity prices, Bank Indonesia’s high interest rate environment (necessary to combat high inflation, curb the country’s wide current account deficit, and support the ailing rupiah), and weak government spending. In the second quarter of 2015 GDP growth eased to a six-year low of 4.67 percent (y/y). As each 1 percent GDP growth is estimated to generate between 200,000 and 300,000 new jobs in Indonesia it is important for the government to boost economic growth in order to generate enough jobs for the two million new Indonesian job seekers that enter the labor force each year. According to the latest data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), the country's unemployment rate stood at 5.81 percent in February 2015 (BPS publishes unemployment data twice per year). However, a point of criticism often ventilated by analysts is that this official figure does not cover the informal sector.
Indonesian Labor Force:
2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015¹ | |
Labor Force | 119,399,375 | 120,320,000 | 120,170,000 | 121,870,000 | 128,300,000 |
- Working | 111,281,744 | 113,010,000 | 112,760,000 | 114,630,000 | 120,850,000 |
- Unemployed | 8,117,631 | 7,310,000 | 7,410,000 | 7,240,000 | 7,450,000 |
¹ in February 2015
Source: Statistics Indonesia
Indonesia's Quarterly GDP Growth 2009–2015 (annual % change):
Year | Quarter I |
Quarter II | Quarter III | Quarter IV |
2015 | 4.72 | 4.67 | ||
2014 | 5.14 | 5.03 | 4.92 | 5.01 |
2013 | 6.03 | 5.81 | 5.62 | 5.72 |
2012 | 6.29 | 6.36 | 6.17 | 6.11 |
2011 | 6.45 | 6.52 | 6.49 | 6.50 |
2010 | 5.99 | 6.29 | 5.81 | 6.81 |
2009 | 4.60 | 4.37 | 4.31 | 4.58 |
Source: Statistics Indonesia (BPS)
Therefore, the mass protest is aimed at increasing pressure on the government to boost the nation’s economic growth. According to media reports, thousands of jobs have been shed in Indonesia’s labor-intensive industries in recent months. The Indonesian Workers Confederation, which has approximately two million members, expects to see the total number of layoffs go up to 100,000 in 2015.
Meanwhile, high inflation (the result of recent fuel subsidy reforms and the weak rupiah) has led to weakening purchasing power of Indonesians. In July 2015, headline inflation stood at 7.26 percent (y/y), the highest inflation rate in the Southeast Asian region. High inflation is a major concern for Southeast Asia’s largest economy as a large portion of the Indonesian population lives just above the poverty line. As such, severe inflationary pressures can push these people into poverty.
Inflation in Indonesia:
Month | Monthly Growth 2013 |
Monthly Growth 2014 |
Monthly Growth 2015 |
January | 1.03% | 1.07% | -0.24% |
February | 0.75% | 0.26% | -0.36% |
March | 0.63% | 0.08% | 0.17% |
April | -0.10% | -0.02% | 0.36% |
May | -0.03% | 0.16% | 0.50% |
June | 1.03% | 0.43% | 0.54% |
July | 3.29% | 0.93% | 0.93% |
August | 1.12% | 0.47% | |
September | -0.35% | 0.27% | |
October | 0.09% | 0.47% | |
November | 0.12% | 1.50% | |
December | 0.55% | 2.46% | |
Total | 8.38% | 8.36% | 1.90% |
Source: Statistics Indonesia (BPS)
Inflation in Indonesia 2008-2014:
2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | |
Inflation (annual percent change) |
9.8 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 8.4 | 8.4 |
Source: World Bank
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