Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Optimistic on Investment in 2014
The Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM) is optimistic that investments (both foreign and domestic direct investments) in Indonesia can reach IDR 450 trillion (USD $38.1 billion) in 2014. This would be a 15 percentage point increase from investment realization in 2013. Head of BKPM Mahendra Siregar said that there is no evidence yet which indicates that investors are hesitant to invest due to the presidential election (scheduled for 9 July 2014). In the first quarter of 2014, investment realization in Indonesia had set a new record.
Siregar in fact stressed that the legislative and presidential elections in 2014 have a positive influence on the country’s economy and investments although he did not substantiate this statement. On the contrary, a recent survey of the Deutsche Bank showed that the majority of respondents (consisting of foreign investors) will sell Indonesian assets in case Prabowo Subianto is elected as Indonesia’s next president. Subianto, former army general and former son-in-law to Indonesia's second president Suharto, has the topics of resource nationalism and independence from foreign influences high on his political agenda. Although other presidential candidate and market favourite Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo still leads the Indonesian popularity polls, Subianto is not far behind which makes foreign investors a bit concerned.
Regarding foreign direct investment, Siregar said that he hopes to see more ‘quality investments’ referring to investments that result in added value products (downstream industries) and which are labor-intensive (as the Indonesian unemployment rate needs to be pushed down). Siregar admitted that in order to attract quality investments, the Indonesian government needs to show consistent and good governance as well as improve the country’s infrastructure to make the investment climate more attractive.
Although the Indonesian government, central bank and various international institutions (such as the World Bank and IMF) have downgraded Indonesia’s economic growth in 2014, the BKPM has not revised down its target for investments this year.
Foreign and Domestic Investment in Indonesia (in IDR trillion)
2014 |
||||
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
Domestic Direct Investment | 34.6 | |||
Foreign Direct Investment | 72.0 | |||
Total Investment |
106.6 |
Foreign and Domestic Investment in Indonesia (in IDR trillion)
2011 |
2012 | 2013 | ||||||||||
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
Domestic Direct Investment | 14.1 | 18.9 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 19.7 | 20.8 | 25.2 | 27.5 | 27.5 | 33.1 | 33.5 | 34.1 |
Foreign Direct Investment | 39.5 | 43.1 | 46.5 | 46.2 | 51.5 | 56.1 | 56.6 | 65.5 | 65.5 | 66.7 | 67.0 | 71.2 |
Total Investment |
53.6 | 62.0 | 65.5 | 70.2 | 71.2 | 76.9 | 81.8 | 83.3 | 93.0 | 99.8 | 100.5 | 105.3 |
Source: Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM)
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